Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 7.226028 8.251671 9.381706 10.720877 12.266881 13.998333 16.088257
2025-08-17 5.731430 7.036443 8.589026 10.578746 13.070316 16.099266 20.079035
2025-08-24 4.824678 6.235915 8.009415 10.414108 13.608609 17.732870 23.503496
2025-08-31 4.166240 5.613039 7.513661 10.211974 13.974684 19.080168 26.608082
2025-09-07 3.868059 5.406530 7.508818 10.618730 15.148801 21.578367 31.522421
2025-09-14 3.540843 5.111026 7.332127 10.739185 15.897862 23.519267 35.822783
2025-09-21 3.229166 4.797455 7.085826 10.712875 16.400655 25.116436 39.750074
2025-09-28 2.941244 4.485680 6.803867 10.589859 16.721267 26.438971 43.360021
2025-10-05 2.804520 4.387805 6.830858 10.939727 17.808573 29.064160 49.385760
2025-10-12 2.665558 4.270768 6.812318 11.206121 18.773801 31.571191 55.484259
2025-10-19 2.564240 4.203165 6.863118 11.585250 19.956678 34.552869 62.757335
2025-10-26 2.347416 3.924498 6.539650 11.290761 19.928768 35.399133 66.189009
2025-11-02 2.172326 3.704555 6.300848 11.129029 20.134374 36.708269 70.704062
2025-11-09 2.018164 3.507873 6.085158 10.987133 20.359151 38.070700 75.484302
2025-11-16 1.875184 3.318751 5.865993 10.815814 20.505582 39.288114 80.102553
2025-11-23 1.740549 3.133606 5.638171 10.605327 20.550689 40.302353 84.405135
2025-11-30 1.704898 3.127080 5.736712 11.028912 21.890205 44.044597 95.019377
2025-12-07 1.632529 3.045542 5.687071 11.154360 22.632410 46.627548 103.390903
2025-12-14 1.547190 2.932429 5.567540 11.126959 23.050199 48.561072 110.517185
2025-12-21 1.457103 2.803234 5.406405 10.998845 23.238268 50.010186 116.681337
2025-12-28 1.427760 2.791890 5.477675 11.363223 24.533774 54.051366 129.627890
2026-01-04 1.390462 2.761507 5.507596 11.640688 25.661298 57.828206 142.425877
2026-01-11 1.366421 2.756301 5.588407 12.035606 27.094969 62.472687 158.081590